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Have I mentioned lately that the Healthy Kidney 10K is coming up?

Here’s a little pre-race exercise I like to go through in the days leading up to a big race. I like to review the race results from the previous year to try to figure out where I’ll fit in. It took a little work, but I compiled the results from 2008’s Healthy Kidney 10K in Microsoft Excel, complete with drop down menus (whatever, I’m an excel geek). Here…

healthy-kidney-2008-results

healthy-kidney-10k-excel3

So there were 6,282 finishers in last year’s HK 10K. In a previous post, I gave you the tools to predict what your finish time will be this year. Assuming there will be a similar field of runners in 2009, let’s see where that puts you in the pack…

Top % of Runners by Finish Time

Top %

Finish Time

Splits

1.0%

34:07:00

5:30

2.0%

36:43:00

5:55

3.0%

38:15:00

6:10

4.0%

39:30:00

6:22

5.0%

40:20:00

6:30

6.0%

41:14:00

6:39

7.0%

41:53:00

6:45

8.0%

42:33:00

6:51

9.0%

42:58:00

6:55

10.0%

43:25:00

7:00

12.0%

44:15:00

7:08

15.0%

45:29:00

7:20

20.0%

42:43:00

7:36

25.0%

48:33:00

7:49

30.0%

49:44:00

8:01

40.0%

52:13:00

8:25

50.0%

54:21:00

8:45

This race draws a pretty strong field for a “local” 10K. My goal time of about 38:20 puts me in the top 3% of finishers (roughly 190 out of 6,300). 1 in 10 runners post sub 7-minute miles, and 30% break 8 minutes, some respectable split times.

This might be a good time to discuss Age Grades.

age-grade-calculator

According to Runner’s World, “age grading is a way of putting all race…


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